Forecast NO — Signal Tracker

Regimented per-city signal log. Canonical times: NEXTDAY = 8pm ET, TODAY = 9:45am ET. Compares what the model fires vs what you actually traded.

Model fired (counterfactual)

Per-$1 stake hypothetical — shows model edge ignoring sizing

Actually traded (live $)

Real Kalshi fills with matchedStrategy = forecast-no-{timing}

Capture rate

% of fired signals where you placed at least one matching fill

Filtered Summary

Plays

WR

ROI

P&L

Staked

All
to °F
to ¢
Date City Timing Forecast Spread GFS Δ Bracket NO Ask Mirror YES Signal Actual Model Result Model PnL/$1 Fills Cost Real PnL Link
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